Volume 66, Issue 4
Original Article

Hidden Markov modelling of sparse time series from non‐volcanic tremor observations

Ting Wang

Corresponding Author

E-mail address: ting.wang@otago.ac.nz

University of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand

Address for correspondence: Ting Wang, Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Otago, PO Box 56, Dunedin 9054, New Zealand. E‐mail: ting.wang@otago.ac.nzSearch for more papers by this author
Jiancang Zhuang

Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo

Graduate University for Advanced Studies, Tokyo, Japan

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First published: 10 November 2016
Citations: 4

Summary

  Tremor activity has been recently detected in various tectonic areas world wide and is spatially segmented and temporally recurrent. We design a type of hidden Markov models to investigate this phenomenon, where each state represents a distinct segment of tremor sources. A mixture distribution of a Bernoulli variable and a continuous variable is introduced into the hidden Markov model to solve the problem that tremor clusters are very sparse in time. We applied our model to the tremor data from the Tokai region in Japan to identify distinct segments of tremor source regions and the results reveal the spatiotemporal migration pattern among these segments.

Number of times cited according to CrossRef: 4

  • Model Checking for Hidden Markov Models, Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics, 10.1080/10618600.2020.1743295, (1-16), (2020).
  • Earthquake clusters identification through a Markovian Arrival Process (MAP): Application in Corinth Gulf (Greece), Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 10.1016/j.physa.2019.123655, (2019).
  • Change point dynamics for financial data: an indexed Markov chain approach, Annals of Finance, 10.1007/s10436-018-0337-0, (2018).
  • Estimating the earthquake occurrence rates in Corinth Gulf (Greece) through Markovian arrival process modeling, Journal of Applied Statistics, 10.1080/02664763.2018.1531977, (1-26), (2018).